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Cyclical Features of Uzawa-Lucas Endogenous Growth Model
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the cyclical properties of a generalized version of Uzawa-Lucas endogenous growth model. We study the dynamic features of different cyclical components of this model characterized by a variety of ...
Does the Term Spread play a role in the FED's reaction function? An Empirical Investigation
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2004)
Using US data for the period 1967:5-2002:4, this paper empirically investigates the performance of a Fed’s reaction function (FRF) that (i) allows for the presence of switching regimes, (ii) considers the
long-short term ...
The Comovement between Monetary and Fiscal Policy Instruments during the Post-War Period in the U.S.
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2008-04)
This paper empirically studies the dynamic relationship between monetary and fiscal policies by analyzing the comovements between the Fed funds rate and the primary deficit/output ratio. Simple economic thinking establishes ...
Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the existence of an inflation tax Laffer curve (ITLC) in the context of two standard optimizing monetary models: a cash-in-advance model and a money in the utility function model. Agents’ preferences ...
Markov Switching Risk Premium and the term structure of interest rates. Empirical evidence from US post-war interest rates
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-04)
This paper considers the basic present value model of interest rates under rational expectations with two additional features. First, following McCallum (1994), the model assumes a policy reaction function where changes ...
The changing behaviour of the term structure of post-war US
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
Using U.S. interest rate data covering the period 1950:1-1992:7, this paper tests the rational expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. We show evidence that the rational expectations model of the term ...
Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2009-12)
This paper extends the technique suggested by den Haan (2000) to investigate contemporaneous as well as lead and lag correlations among economic data for a range of forecast horizons. The technique provides a richer picture ...
Switching Equilibria: The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited
(2002-07)
This paper analyzes the different dynamic features displayed by alternative RE equilibria and how these features change for small perturbations of the dividend process parameters. Using historical US data and structural ...
The Importance of Stock Market Returns in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules: a Structural Approach
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2006)
This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model augmented with financial variables in order to analyze the relative importance of stock market returns and term spread in the estimated U.S. ...
The role of the term spread in an augmented Taylor rule: An empirical investigation
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2003-04)
Using US data for the period 1967:5-2002:4, this paper empirically investigates the performance of an augmented version of the Taylor rule (ATR) that (i) allows for the presence of switching regimes, (ii) considers the ...