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Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the existence of an inflation tax Laffer curve (ITLC) in the context of two standard optimizing monetary models: a cash-in-advance model and a money in the utility function model. Agents’ preferences ...
Markov Switching Risk Premium and the term structure of interest rates. Empirical evidence from US post-war interest rates
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-04)
This paper considers the basic present value model of interest rates under rational expectations with two additional features. First, following McCallum (1994), the model assumes a policy reaction function where changes ...
The changing behaviour of the term structure of post-war US
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
Using U.S. interest rate data covering the period 1950:1-1992:7, this paper tests the rational expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. We show evidence that the rational expectations model of the term ...
Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2009-12)
This paper extends the technique suggested by den Haan (2000) to investigate contemporaneous as well as lead and lag correlations among economic data for a range of forecast horizons. The technique provides a richer picture ...
A noncooperative view on two consistent aiport cost sharing rules
(2006-07)
This paper provides a noncooperative understanding of the nucleolus and the egalitarian allocation for airport cost problems. We find that every Nash equilibrium of the noncooperative game has the nucleolus as outcome while ...
Switching Equilibria: The Present Value Model for Stock Prices Revisited
(2002-07)
This paper analyzes the different dynamic features displayed by alternative RE equilibria and how these features change for small perturbations of the dividend process parameters. Using historical US data and structural ...
The Importance of Stock Market Returns in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules: a Structural Approach
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2006)
This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model augmented with financial variables in order to analyze the relative importance of stock market returns and term spread in the estimated U.S. ...
The role of the term spread in an augmented Taylor rule: An empirical investigation
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2003-04)
Using US data for the period 1967:5-2002:4, this paper empirically investigates the performance of an augmented version of the Taylor rule (ATR) that (i) allows for the presence of switching regimes, (ii) considers the ...
Switching Regimes in the Term Structure of Interest Rates During U.S. Post-War: A case for the Lucas proof equilibrium?
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-08)
Farmer (1991) suggests that in a model in which there are multiple rational expectations (RE) equilibria agents may find it useful to coordinate their expectations in a unique RE equilibrium which is
immune to the Lucas ...
Trend analysis in two standard growth models
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the trend processes characterized by two standard growth models using simple econometrics. The first model is the basic neoclassical growth model that postulates a deterministic trend for output. The ...