BackBrowsing DFAEII by Subject "MACROECONOMICS AND MONETARY ECONOMICS"
Now showing items 1-20 of 32
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An Estimated New-Keynesian Model with Unemployment as Excess Supply of Labor
Casares, Miguel; Moreno, Antonio; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2012)
Wage stickiness is incorporated to a New-Keynesian model with variable capital to drive endogenous unemployment uctuations de ned as the log di¤erence between aggregate labor supply and aggregate labor demand. We estimated ... -
Business cycles in a small open economy: The case of Hong Kong
; Iza Padilla, María Amaya (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2011-12)
This paper analyzes the business cycle properties of the Hong Kong economy during the 1982-2004 period, which includes the financial crisis experienced in 1997-98. We show that output, output growth rate and real interest ... -
Can the change in the composition of the US GDP explain the Great Moderation? A test via oil price shocks
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2012)The paper investigates whether the growing GDP share of the services sector can contribute to explain the great moderation in the US. We identify and analyze three oil price shocks and use a SVAR analysis to measure their ... -
Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe
Ferreira García, María Eva; Martínez, María Isabel; Navarro, Eliseo; Rubio Irigoyen, Gonzalo (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ... -
Data Revisions in the Estimation of DSGE Models
Casares, Miguel; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2012)
Revisions of US macroeconomic data are not white-noise. They are persistent, correlated with real-time data, and with high variability (around 80% of volatility observed in US real-time data). Their business cycle effects ... -
Does the Term Spread play a role in the FED's reaction function? An Empirical Investigation
Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2004)
Using US data for the period 1967:5-2002:4, this paper empirically investigates the performance of a Fed’s reaction function (FRF) that (i) allows for the presence of switching regimes, (ii) considers the long-short term ... -
Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle
Cassou, Steven P.; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2009-12)
This paper extends the technique suggested by den Haan (2000) to investigate contemporaneous as well as lead and lag correlations among economic data for a range of forecast horizons. The technique provides a richer picture ... -
Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money
Gutiérrez Huerta, María José; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper analyzes the existence of an inflation tax Laffer curve (ITLC) in the context of two standard optimizing monetary models: a cash-in-advance model and a money in the utility function model. Agents’ preferences ... -
Fiscal Policy and Economic Stability: Does PIGS stand for Procyclicality In Government Spending?
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-12)The Financial Crisis has hit particularly hard countries like Ireland or Spain. Procyclical fiscal policy has contributed to a boom-bust cycle that undermined fiscal positions and deepened current account deficits during ... -
How Does the New Keynesian Monetary Model Fit in the U.S. and the Eurozone? an Indirect Inference Approach
María-Dolores, Ramón; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-05)
This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian monetary (NKM) model under alternative specifications of the monetary policy rule using U.S. and Eurozone data. The estimation procedure implemented is a classical ... -
Income Taxation and Growth in an OLG Economy: Does Aggregate Uncertainty Play any Role?
Echevarría Olave, Cruz Ángel; Iza Padilla, María Amaya (2013-12-18)
We analyze the effects of capital income taxation on long-run growth in a stochastic, two-period overlapping generations economy. Endogenous growth is driven by a positive externality of physical capital in the production ... -
Inequality for Wage Earners and Self-Employed: Evidence from Panel Data
Albarrán, Pedro; Carrasco, Raquel; Martínez Granado, María Teresa (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2007-03)
In this paper we study the evolution of income inequality for employees and self-employed workers. We highlight the importance of separately analyze these different sources of income to gain a broader understanding of ... -
Is there a Phillips Curve in the US and the EU15 Countries? An empirical investigation
Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-08)
This paper studies the comovement between output and inflation in the EU15 countries. Following den Haan (2000), I use the correlations of VAR forecast errors at different horizons in order to analyze the output-inflation ... -
Markov Switching Risk Premium and the term structure of interest rates. Empirical evidence from US post-war interest rates
Gutiérrez Huerta, María José; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-04)
This paper considers the basic present value model of interest rates under rational expectations with two additional features. First, following McCallum (1994), the model assumes a policy reaction function where changes ... -
New Keynesian Model Features that Can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns
Cassou, Steven P.; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-04)
This paper uses a new method for describing dynamic comovement and persistence in economic time series which builds on the contemporaneous forecast error method developed in den Haan (2000). This data description method ... -
On the Informational Role of Term Structure in the U.S. Monetary Policy Rule
Vázquez Pérez, Jesús; María-Dolores, Ramón; Londoño Yarce, Juan Miguel (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2010-01)
This paper uses a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the new Keynesian monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure using both revised and real-time data. ... -
Optimal Fiscal Policy with Rationing in the Labor Market
Gorostiaga Alonso, Miren Arantzazu (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002-07)
This paper characterizes the optimal fiscal policy when it is assumed that there exists a minimum wage below which no worker can be hired. The rigidity due to the minimum wage legislation can lead to equilibria in which ... -
Optimal Minimum Wage in a Competitive Economy: an Alternative Modelling Approach
Gorostiaga Alonso, Miren Arantzazu; Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2004)
This paper analyzes whether a minimum wage can be an optimal redistribution policy when distorting taxes and lump-sum transfers are also available in a competitive economy. We build a static general equilibrium model with ... -
Optimal Monetary Policy with Asymmetric Preferences for Output
Cassou, Steven P.; Scott, Patrick; Vázquez Pérez, Jesús (2012-11-15)
Using a model of an optimizing monetary authority which has preferences that weigh inflation and unemployment, Ruge-Murcia (2003, 2004) finds empirical evidence that the authority has asymmetric preferences for ... -
Population age structure and private consumption in Spain
Eguía Peña, María Begoña; Echevarría Olave, Cruz Ángel (University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002)
In this paper we study the effect of population age distribution upon private consumption expenditure in Spain from 1964 to 1997 using aggregate data. We obtain four main results. First, changes in the population pyramid ...