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Now showing items 11-14 of 14
Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2005-02)
This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business ...
A Note on Risk Acceptance, Bankruptcy Avoidance and Riskiness Measures
(2013-09-30)
In this work we clarify the relationships between riskiness, risk acceptance and bankruptcy avoidance. We distinguish between the restriction on the current wealth required to make a gamble acceptable to the decision maker ...
A factor model of seasonality in stock returns
(University of the Basque Country, Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, 2002)
Most empirical evidence on stock market seasonality is based on the Dummy Variable Approach (DVA). Typically, the DVA leaves too much variability of stock returns unexplained and inference usually leads to weak or null ...
An Alternative View of the US Price-Dividend Ratio Dynamics
(2014-12)
As a necessary condition for the validity of the present value model, the price-dividend ratio must be stationary. However, significant market episodes seem to provide
evidence of prices significantly drifting apart from ...