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Accounting for economic factors in socio-hydrology: Optimization under uncertainty and climate change
(MDPI, 2019)
This paper reframes the socio-hydrology analysis as an optimization problem. To achieve this, we first develop a valuation scheme to estimate net benefits of development in a flood plain, consisting of benefits obtained ...
Addendum to Understanding risks in the light of uncertainty: low-probability, high-impact coastal events in cities
(IOP Publishing, 2018)
This addendum adds to the analysis presented in Understanding risks in the light of uncertainty: low-probability, high-impact coastal events in cities Abadie et al (2017 Environ. Res. Lett . 12 [https://doi.org/10.1088 ...
Risk measures and the distribution of damage curves for 600 European coastal cities
(IOP Publishing, 2019)
A good understanding of climate change damages is vital to design effective adaptation policies and measures. Using a dataset of probabilistic sea-level rise and other of flood damages and protection cost curves for the ...
Climate Risk Assessment under Uncertainty: An Application to Main European Coastal Cities
(Frontiers in Marine Science, 2016-12-16)
This paper analyses the risk of extreme coastal events in major European coastal cities using a stochastic diffusion model that is calibrated with the worst case emission scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate ...
Understanding risks in the light of uncertainty: low-probability, high-impact coastal events in cities
(Environmental Research Letters, 2017-01-17)
A quantification of present and future mean annual losses due to extreme coastal events can be crucial for adequate decision making on adaptation to climate change in coastal areas around the globe. However, this approach ...
Climate change and heatwaves in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country
(Ekonomiaz: Revista Vasca De Economía, 2020)
In this paper we analyse the probabilistic behaviour of heatwaves (HWs) in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country (Bayonne, Bilbao and Donostia-San Sebastian) in the twentyfirst century. We estimate HW behaviour ...
Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario
(Elsevier, 2020)
The high degree of uncertainty associated with the extent of future sea-level rise stems primarily from the potential mass loss of the Greenland and Antarctica ice-sheets. We explore the impact of this uncertainty on ...
Stochastic diffusion models to describe the evolution of annual heatwave statistics: A three-factor model with risk calculations
(Elsevier, 2019)
In view of risk assessments this paper proposes a stochastic diffusion model to characterise statistics of extreme events when climate- or environmental variables surpass critical thresholds. The proposed three-factor model ...
Current expectations and actual values for the clean spark spread: The case of Spain in the Covid-19 crisis
(JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2021)
The Covid-19 crisis has had a major impact on electricity markets, affecting power plant input and output prices. In this paper Spanish electricity and natural gas prices and international carbon prices are used to calculate ...
The Costs of Sea-Level Rise: Coastal Adaptation Investments vs. Inaction in Iberian Coastal Cities
(MDPI, 2020-04-24)
Iberian coastal cities are subject to significant risks in the next decades due to climate change-induced sea-level rise. These risks are quite uncertain depending on several factors. In this article, we estimate potential ...