A Study on COVID-19 Incidence in Europe through Two SEIR Epidemic Models Which Consider Mixed Contagions from Asymptomatic and Symptomatic Individuals

Thumbnail
View/Open
Date
2021-07-06
Author
Nistal Riobello, Raúl ORCID
De la Sen Parte, Manuel ORCID
Gabirondo Aranguren, Jon ORCID
Alonso Quesada, Santiago
Garrido Hernández, Aitor Josu ORCID
Garrido Hernández, Izaskun ORCID
Metadata
Show full item record
  Estadisticas en RECOLECTA
(LA Referencia)

Applied Sciences 11(14) : (2021) // Article ID 6266
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10810/52651
Abstract
The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) on the world has been partially controlled through different measures of social isolation and prophylaxis. Two new SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) models are proposed in order to describe this spread through different countries of Europe. In both models the infectivity of the asymptomatic period during the exposed stage of the disease will be taken into account. The different transmission rates of the SEIR models are calculated by considering the different locations and, more importantly, the lockdown measures implemented in each region. A new classification of these intervention measures will be set and their influence on the values of the transmission rates will be estimated through regression analysis.
Collections
2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).