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Now showing items 11-20 of 24
Optimal Investment in Energy Efficiency under Uncertainty
(Basque Centre for Climate Change/Klima Aldaketa Ikergai, 2009-11-18)
This paper deals with the optimal time to invest in an energy efficiency improvement. There is a broad consensus that such investments quickly pay for themselves in lower energy bills and spared emission allowances. However, ...
Climate Risk Assessment under Uncertainty: An Application to Main European Coastal Cities
(Frontiers in Marine Science, 2016-12-16)
This paper analyses the risk of extreme coastal events in major European coastal cities using a stochastic diffusion model that is calibrated with the worst case emission scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate ...
Understanding risks in the light of uncertainty: low-probability, high-impact coastal events in cities
(Environmental Research Letters, 2017-01-17)
A quantification of present and future mean annual losses due to extreme coastal events can be crucial for adequate decision making on adaptation to climate change in coastal areas around the globe. However, this approach ...
Climate change and heatwaves in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country
(Ekonomiaz: Revista Vasca De Economía, 2020)
In this paper we analyse the probabilistic behaviour of heatwaves (HWs) in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country (Bayonne, Bilbao and Donostia-San Sebastian) in the twentyfirst century. We estimate HW behaviour ...
Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario
(Elsevier, 2020)
The high degree of uncertainty associated with the extent of future sea-level rise stems primarily from the potential mass loss of the Greenland and Antarctica ice-sheets. We explore the impact of this uncertainty on ...
Stochastic diffusion models to describe the evolution of annual heatwave statistics: A three-factor model with risk calculations
(Elsevier, 2019)
In view of risk assessments this paper proposes a stochastic diffusion model to characterise statistics of extreme events when climate- or environmental variables surpass critical thresholds. The proposed three-factor model ...
Current expectations and actual values for the clean spark spread: The case of Spain in the Covid-19 crisis
(JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2021)
The Covid-19 crisis has had a major impact on electricity markets, affecting power plant input and output prices. In this paper Spanish electricity and natural gas prices and international carbon prices are used to calculate ...
The Costs of Sea-Level Rise: Coastal Adaptation Investments vs. Inaction in Iberian Coastal Cities
(MDPI, 2020-04-24)
Iberian coastal cities are subject to significant risks in the next decades due to climate change-induced sea-level rise. These risks are quite uncertain depending on several factors. In this article, we estimate potential ...
Sea level damage risk with probabilistic weighting of IPCC scenarios: An application to major coastal cities
(Elsevier, 2018)
In some coastal cities there is an urgent need to decide on adaptation investments given the long periods needed to complete the relevant infrastructures. However such decisions are usually made under significant uncertainty ...
On flexible hydropower and security of supply: Spain beyond 2020
(Elsevier, 2020)
Generation adequacy is a key ingredient to security of electricity supply (SoS). Some national plans envisage a future decrease in the number of coal-fired stations and an increase in renewable installed capacity. This ...